Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.097109 1.330481 1.627184 2.043076 2.630318 3.463274 4.804219
2025-03-23 0.806235 1.072866 1.465236 2.126415 3.317128 5.656759 11.765582
2025-03-30 0.643196 0.905610 1.329300 2.140427 3.906375 8.596718 30.960247
2025-04-06 0.532874 0.778304 1.199917 2.083685 4.314062 12.104366 94.670276
2025-04-13 0.459148 0.689716 1.105468 2.044086 4.742471 17.215936 590.918041
2025-04-20 0.425990 0.661296 1.110893 2.224731 6.047050 34.156129 NaN
2025-04-27 0.392723 0.625162 1.089796 2.331617 7.323693 70.479945 NaN
2025-05-04 0.357677 0.579161 1.035887 2.324517 8.175784 137.575615 NaN
2025-05-11 0.323760 0.530085 0.964337 2.235093 8.528353 244.376124 NaN
2025-05-18 0.303332 0.504534 0.940629 2.287266 9.925743 1039.358891 NaN
2025-05-25 0.288922 0.488895 0.936602 2.406354 12.264256 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.271009 0.463615 0.903895 2.408864 13.784382 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.250332 0.430749 0.847810 2.305304 14.106889 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.240264 0.419425 0.845293 2.419701 17.795250 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.227891 0.401653 0.822489 2.439769 20.623432 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.214082 0.379316 0.783676 2.372018 21.804279 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.202315 0.360449 0.751669 2.324491 23.462102 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.198928 0.360047 0.771371 2.542547 34.951711 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.193209 0.353665 0.772716 2.672281 48.137414 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.184824 0.340267 0.750993 2.663649 56.239907 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.175056 0.322850 0.714766 2.555108 56.823286 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.169545 0.315107 0.707239 2.618389 74.784307 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.165854 0.311378 0.711666 2.763302 117.535835 NaN NaN